MLS Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
New York RB vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NER
5 - 2
RBN
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RBN
1 - 2
NER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
CFS
1 - 0
RBN
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RBN
0 - 0
DAL
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SJE
0 - 2
RBN
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NER
5 - 2
RBN
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RBN
1 - 2
NER
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NER
1 - 0
DCU
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
DAL
1 - 4
NER
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
NER
3 - 2
COC
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |