MLS Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
New York RB vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CFS
5 - 2
RBN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RBN
3 - 1
COC
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
RSL
1 - 1
RBN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RBN
1 - 3
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
RBN
4 - 5
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
FIR
1 - 1
HOD
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
HOD
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
HOD
1 - 3
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HOD
3 - 0
GAL
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
HOD
2 - 1
SJE
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |