New York RB vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
RBN
1 - 2
NER
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
KCW
1 - 2
RBN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
NER
1 - 2
RBN
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
RBN
1 - 2
CFS
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
1 - 1
RBN
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
COC
3 - 2
DAL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CFS
1 - 1
COC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
COC
1 - 0
KCW
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
DAL
1 - 2
COC
42%
24%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
COR
2 - 1
COC
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |