New York RB vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
RBN
3 - 0
DCU
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CFS
3 - 2
RBN
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RBN
3 - 0
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
RBN
2 - 0
NYC
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
RBN
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MON
4 - 3
CFS
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ORL
1 - 1
CFS
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CFS
3 - 2
RBN
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CFS
0 - 1
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
PHU
3 - 3
CFS
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |