New York RB vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RBN
5 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
RSL
2 - 0
RBN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SJE
1 - 0
RBN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
RBN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RBN
1 - 1
NER
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CFS
0 - 0
RSL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CFS
2 - 0
NER
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
CFS
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CFS
1 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NER
0 - 0
CFS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |