Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-8
Red Boys Differdange vs SV Thor Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Boys Differdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
THO
7 - 1
RBD
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 71 | 60 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
RBD
0 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 85 | 73 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
SCP
4 - 0
RBD
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 85 | 73 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
RBD
0 - 4
AZA
6%
11%
83%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 0
RBD
93%
5%
2%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
SV Thor Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
LIE
4 - 1
THO
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
THO
7 - 1
RBD
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
THO
2 - 1
KFC
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CER
1 - 2
THO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
THO
0 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |