Red Arrows vs Zesco United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
POW
0 - 1
RED
44%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RED
2 - 0
KON
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NKW
0 - 1
RED
37%
30%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RED
2 - 0
PRL
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 1
RED
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZES
2 - 2
ZAN
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
KAB
0 - 0
ZES
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZES
2 - 1
KAD
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
ZES
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
EAG
1 - 1
ZES
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |