Red Arrows vs Trident analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 1
MUZ
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
RED
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NKA
0 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RED
5 - 1
POW
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
EAG
2 - 2
RED
42%
28%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trident
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
ZAN
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAB
2 - 1
TRI
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
KAD
8%
17%
75%
|
8 | 40 | 32 | +3 |