Red Arrows vs Nkwazi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PRL
1 - 2
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
NAP
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MUF
1 - 0
RED
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RED
2 - 0
TRI
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 1
MUZ
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nkwazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NKW
1 - 1
ZAN
39%
30%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAB
1 - 1
NKW
47%
28%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NKW
0 - 0
KAD
38%
29%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
NKW
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
POW
2 - 1
NKW
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |