Red Arrows vs Nkana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
RED
3 - 0
FOR
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
NAP
0 - 1
RED
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RED
1 - 0
BFC
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
YGE
0 - 0
RED
52%
24%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
RED
3 - 1
LUD
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
NKA
2 - 1
PRL
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NKA
4 - 1
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NKA
1 - 2
LUD
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ZES
0 - 1
NKA
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
POW
0 - 2
NKA
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |