Red Arrows vs Nchanga Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
8º
6º
37
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
RED
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RED
1 - 0
GRE
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RED
2 - 1
BFC
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZAN
1 - 1
RED
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RED
3 - 0
KAD
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nchanga Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NCH
1 - 1
PRL
36%
28%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
NCH
47%
27%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NCH
1 - 1
NKA
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MUZ
2 - 0
NCH
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
NCH
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |