Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
EAG
52%
25%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ZAN
1 - 2
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 1
KAB
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
KAD
2 - 1
RED
43%
28%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mutondo Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
ZAN
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
KAB
0 - 2
MUS
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUS
2 - 0
KAD
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +5 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
MUS
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 2
ZES
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |