Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
KAD
2 - 1
RED
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ZES
1 - 0
RED
52%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RED
1 - 1
POW
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KON
1 - 1
RED
28%
29%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kabwe Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KAB
0 - 1
ZAN
40%
28%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KAB
0 - 1
EAG
45%
28%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
KAD
2 - 0
KAB
40%
28%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KAB
3 - 0
GRE
46%
28%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZES
1 - 2
KAB
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |