Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 0
NKW
45%
28%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
LUD
0 - 1
RED
46%
27%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RED
2 - 2
KAF
42%
26%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 1
POW
49%
27%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kabwe Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NKW
0 - 1
KAB
37%
31%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
KAB
2 - 0
LUD
49%
27%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
POW
2 - 0
KAB
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
KAB
2 - 0
BFC
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
KAB
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |