Red Arrows vs Green Buffaloes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
NKA
1 - 0
RED
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ZAN
0 - 0
RED
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RED
0 - 0
KAB
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
LUR
1 - 2
RED
37%
29%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
RED
1 - 2
NKA
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Green Buffaloes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
ZAN
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NKW
0 - 1
GRE
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
LUD
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
PRL
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
KIT
0 - 2
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |