Recreativo vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
GRA
7 - 2
REC
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
REC
5 - 3
RCD
63%
18%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
JFC
2 - 1
REC
68%
17%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
CAD
4 - 1
REC
66%
17%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
REC
1 - 2
MAL
62%
19%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
SDC
2 - 4
RCD
58%
19%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
CAD
4 - 0
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
SDC
2 - 1
EHA
79%
13%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SDC
0 - 1
GRA
46%
22%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
JFC
2 - 2
SDC
72%
15%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |