Recreativo vs San Fernando CD analysis

Recreativo San Fernando CD
50 ELO 54
-11.8% Tilt -26.4%
2671º General ELO ranking 3169º
73º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
28.8%
Recreativo
26.6%
Draw
44.6%
San Fernando CD

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
Recreativo
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.6%
Win probability
San Fernando CD
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Recreativo
-4%
+1%
San Fernando CD

Points and table prediction

Recreativo
Their league position
San Fernando CD
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
13º
42
10º
19º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Castellón
82
82
100%
Córdoba CF
77
77
100%
Málaga
70
70
100%
UD Ibiza
68
68
100%
AD Ceuta FC
62
62
100%
Recreativo
61
61
100%
Real Murcia
58
58
100%
Antequera CF
56
56
100%
Atlético B
53
53
100%
RM Castilla
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Alcoyano
11º
51
51
11º
0%
AD Mérida
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Algeciras CF
13º
46
46
13º
100%
At. Sanluqueño
14º
45
45
14º
0%
CF Intercity
15º
45
45
15º
0%
San Fernando CD
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Linares Deportivo
17º
39
39
17º
100%
UD Melilla
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Atlético Baleares
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Recreativo Granada
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Recreativo
San Fernando CD
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Recreativo
San Fernando CD
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Recreativo
Recreativo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2023
TUD
Tudelano
1 - 0
Recreativo
REC
37%
28%
35%
50 48 2 0
29 Oct. 2023
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 0
Recreativo
REC
73%
17%
10%
50 58 8 0
15 Oct. 2023
IBI
UD Ibiza
5 - 2
Recreativo
REC
74%
18%
8%
51 63 12 -1
08 Oct. 2023
REC
Recreativo
1 - 1
Málaga
MAL
18%
28%
55%
50 66 16 +1
30 Sep. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 2
Recreativo
REC
77%
17%
7%
49 63 14 +1

Matches

San Fernando CD
San Fernando CD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
SAN
San Fernando CD
2 - 0
CD Castellón
CAS
26%
27%
47%
53 65 12 0
22 Oct. 2023
LIN
Linares Deportivo
0 - 1
San Fernando CD
SAN
54%
25%
21%
52 58 6 +1
15 Oct. 2023
SAN
San Fernando CD
2 - 1
Recreativo Granada
GRA
52%
25%
23%
51 51 0 +1
08 Oct. 2023
ATB
Atlético B
4 - 2
San Fernando CD
SAN
44%
26%
31%
52 51 1 -1
01 Oct. 2023
MAL
Málaga
1 - 0
San Fernando CD
SAN
62%
24%
14%
53 66 13 -1
X