Recreativo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 0
REC
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
REC
2 - 1
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 0
REC
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
REC
1 - 1
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ALA
1 - 0
REC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
OVI
0 - 1
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
RJA
2 - 1
OVI
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
OVI
3 - 0
OSA
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
CAS
3 - 0
OVI
50%
28%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
OVI
5 - 0
GDE
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |