Recreativo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
40.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
REC
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REC
0 - 0
JUM
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REC
2 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
REC
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
MUR
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JUM
2 - 0
MUR
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |