Recreativo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 2
REC
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 0
REC
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
REC
3 - 1
OSA
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
REC
3 - 2
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
REC
2 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
PUE
3 - 2
MUR
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
ZAR
4 - 1
MUR
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
8%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 0
ZAR
47%
22%
31%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
MUR
5 - 1
OSA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |