Recreativo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
VAL
2 - 0
REC
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
DEP
5 - 0
REC
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
REC
1 - 0
CEU
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
SFE
0 - 0
REC
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
REC
2 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAD
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ALB
1 - 1
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 2
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CCF
0 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |