Recreativo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
SSC
1 - 1
REC
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
CDT
3 - 0
REC
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
CEU
2 - 0
REC
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
REC
2 - 2
EXT
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
LEV
4 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
MUR
3 - 0
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 1
CEU
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
EXT
1 - 1
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
MUR
0 - 0
LEV
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
SFE
0 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |