Recreativo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
11.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 2
REC
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
REC
3 - 2
CDT
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SPO
2 - 1
REC
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
PUE
0 - 0
REC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
REC
2 - 1
RAY
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
RJA
3 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
RAY
0 - 0
RJA
71%
20%
10%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
RJA
2 - 2
CAD
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
CAS
1 - 1
RJA
69%
21%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 0
PON
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |