Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 11-3
Recreativo vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
PON
2 - 2
REC
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
REC
2 - 1
LEV
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1976 |
OVI
1 - 0
REC
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
REC
1 - 0
DEP
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CCF
3 - 0
REC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
PON
2 - 1
CLH
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
CAR
5 - 0
PON
63%
20%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
PON
1 - 1
TRJ
55%
28%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
CUL
3 - 1
PON
77%
16%
6%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
PON
2 - 1
RUN
45%
30%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |