Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 3-1
Recreativo vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
REC
0 - 1
CAD
45%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
AGU
1 - 0
REC
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
REC
1 - 0
AFC
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
REC
2 - 0
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
PLA
0 - 1
REC
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
PLA
2 - 2
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
VAL
1 - 0
PLA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
PLA
2 - 1
ALC
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
QUI
0 - 1
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
PLA
0 - 1
REC
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |