Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-3
Recreativo vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
REC
0 - 0
ELC
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
MLL
2 - 2
REC
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
REC
0 - 1
PAL
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
REC
2 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAN
38%
31%
31%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
MAN
4 - 0
UBC
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
TAR
0 - 0
MAN
40%
30%
30%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
MAN
3 - 1
AVI
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
RMC
1 - 0
MAN
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |