Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
Recreativo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
LEG
1 - 0
REC
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
REC
0 - 0
MER
22%
30%
48%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1998 |
JER
2 - 1
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
REC
2 - 2
MAL
41%
30%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
CDO
1 - 0
REC
51%
28%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
JER
2 - 0
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 2
JER
62%
23%
15%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1998 |
JER
2 - 1
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
JER
1 - 1
ALM
32%
29%
38%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
BET
1 - 4
JER
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |