Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Recreativo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
FCB
2 - 1
REC
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
REC
2 - 1
CAS
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
MUR
2 - 0
REC
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
REC
4 - 1
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 1
REC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 2
ZAR
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
ESP
4 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 1
REC
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |