Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-0
Recreativo vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
REC
0 - 0
LIN
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
AGD
1 - 0
REC
52%
27%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
SFE
0 - 2
REC
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
REC
1 - 0
EXT
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
HEL
1 - 0
REC
29%
28%
44%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
SFE
3 - 3
XER
38%
30%
31%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
SFE
3 - 1
CDO
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
SFE
0 - 2
REC
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 1
SFE
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
46%
29%
25%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |