Recreativo vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
PUL
0 - 0
REC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
REC
3 - 0
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
RJA
1 - 1
REC
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
REC
4 - 1
UDL
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
REC
0 - 4
CCF
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SFE
1 - 0
UDL
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ELD
6 - 2
SFE
47%
23%
29%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 2
HER
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
CAD
2 - 0
SFE
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
CFC
1 - 2
SFE
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |