Recreativo vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
REC
1 - 1
CDT
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
XER
1 - 1
REC
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
REC
2 - 1
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CEU
1 - 0
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
REC
1 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CON
2 - 2
XER
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
VAL
8 - 0
CON
73%
16%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
CON
1 - 2
CEU
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CAS
3 - 0
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
CON
1 - 1
RJA
62%
21%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |