Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-0
Recreativo vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ELC
1 - 0
REC
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
REC
1 - 1
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
RAC
2 - 1
REC
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
REC
1 - 0
RAY
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
AGD
0 - 0
CAS
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ELC
4 - 0
CAS
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
CAS
4 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |