Recreativo vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SFE
1 - 1
REC
53%
19%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
REC
6 - 0
LCF
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
CAL
2 - 5
REC
22%
20%
58%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
REC
2 - 0
BAL
87%
8%
5%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
COR
5 - 1
REC
43%
22%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -4 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
CAL
1 - 0
COR
28%
23%
50%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
BAL
5 - 0
CAL
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
CAL
2 - 5
REC
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ANT
3 - 1
CAL
90%
7%
4%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
REC
5 - 1
CAL
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |