Recreativo vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CEL
4 - 1
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
REC
1 - 1
VCF
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
REC
2 - 0
OSA
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MAL
4 - 0
REC
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 0
REC
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
MLL
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ATM
3 - 0
FCB
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 0
REC
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 2
RSO
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |