Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
Recreativo vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
REC
1 - 1
AGD
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 1
REC
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
ALC
1 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
REC
0 - 0
BAL
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CDB
0 - 1
REC
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATB
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
PAI
1 - 2
ALC
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
ALC
1 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ALC
3 - 1
RAC
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
LEV
4 - 0
ALC
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |