Recreativo vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
XER
1 - 1
REC
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
REC
1 - 1
SFE
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LEV
3 - 0
REC
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
REC
1 - 0
CDB
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
BET
0 - 2
REC
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 0
SDC
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
PUL
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CDT
2 - 2
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SFE
3 - 0
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 0
XER
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |