CAF Champions Last 16
Global 4-2
Recreativo do Libolo vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo do Libolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
REC
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
REC
0 - 1
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CRD
1 - 1
REC
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
REC
4 - 0
SIM
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
REC
0 - 1
INT
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALH
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
4 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALA
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |