Belmezano vs Peñarroya Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belmezano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ATC
6 - 0
REC
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
REC
4 - 0
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAN
2 - 3
REC
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
REC
6 - 0
TOR
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 1
ADF
41%
24%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 3
PEN
58%
22%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 6
CRD
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |