Belmezano vs Lucecor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+136%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belmezano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
REC
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
REC
2 - 0
ADF
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
1 - 4
REC
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
REC
8 - 2
PAQ
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
REC
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADF
3 - 3
LUC
64%
19%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUC
5 - 1
PAQ
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CIU
2 - 2
LUC
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 2
PRI
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
LUC
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |