Belmezano vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belmezano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
REC
42%
23%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
CAR
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
REC
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
REC
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
REC
2 - 2
CAS
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATC
33%
24%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 2
ADF
60%
20%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 1
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 0
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 2
ATC
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |