Recreativo Bailén vs Urgavona CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BAI
1 - 1
FUE
49%
24%
28%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ADM
0 - 2
BAI
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BAI
2 - 3
VDJ
33%
25%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
BAI
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BAI
5 - 1
CDT
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Urgavona CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
IDJ
2 - 0
URG
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
URG
0 - 0
CPH
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FUE
0 - 1
URG
52%
21%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
URG
1 - 0
ADM
20%
23%
58%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
VDJ
2 - 2
URG
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |