Recreativo Bailén vs Lupión Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UTI
5 - 3
BAI
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAI
1 - 1
URG
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAI
3 - 1
JAB
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BCD
3 - 2
BAI
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAI
4 - 0
UDG
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lupión Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LPA
1 - 3
JAB
39%
22%
40%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BCD
8 - 0
LPA
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LPA
3 - 5
UDG
48%
21%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
LPA
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
LPA
1 - 1
CLU
50%
21%
30%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |