Recreativo Bailén vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAE
2 - 0
BAI
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
BAI
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BAI
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
NAV
3 - 0
BAI
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAI
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 2
VIL
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
IBR
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CPH
5 - 3
LAG
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
QUE
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
IDJ
0 - 1
LAG
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |