Palencia CF vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SES
4 - 0
PAL
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAL
34%
26%
39%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
PAL
67%
21%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
CAT
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 2
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
STM
85%
10%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STM
1 - 3
SAL
13%
25%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
STM
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
AVI
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |