Palencia CF vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
LVC
0 - 0
PAL
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 4
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
PAL
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
CFS
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 4
PAL
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
STM
1 - 2
SDA
16%
24%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ACF
1 - 0
STM
70%
18%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
RIB
33%
26%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
STM
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
STM
0 - 1
CDG
10%
20%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |