Palencia CF vs Atl. Mansillés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
15º
7º
2
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 79 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 74 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 64 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 64 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 63 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 50 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 50 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 48 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 42 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 40 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 36 |
17º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
19º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 0
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
SDA
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAB
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 3
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mansillés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEC
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STM
0 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CFB
1 - 0
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
CDM
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |