Palencia CF vs Atl. Bembibre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
16º
8º
1
11º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
16º
|
0 | 79 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 73 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 66 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 65 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 62 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 52 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 48 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 46 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 41 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 40 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 34 |
17º
|
10% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 34 |
18º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 32 |
19º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
25% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 3
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SES
4 - 0
PAL
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAL
34%
26%
39%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
PAL
67%
21%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
CAT
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Atl. Bembibre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 2
LVC
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 2
PON
8%
19%
73%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BEC
0 - 1
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAB
3 - 1
MIR
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LVC
1 - 1
CAB
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |