Recanatese vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
JES
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VIS
1 - 0
REC
83%
12%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 0
REC
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
ASD
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
AVE
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 0
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
LAQ
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
42%
24%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |