Recanatese vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
REC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
REC
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REC
2 - 2
CIV
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 4
REC
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REC
0 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
MAT
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
VIS
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 2
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
CIV
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |