Recanatese vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
JES
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
REC
3 - 5
PIN
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 4
REC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
MAT
22%
24%
55%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
REC
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
JES
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
JES
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JES
56%
22%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 2
JES
53%
25%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
JES
0 - 1
LAQ
19%
23%
59%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |